Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 222.349709 250.275722 281.317347 318.556768 362.248981 412.168555 473.922201
2024-10-20 179.268574 215.552697 259.463547 317.209715 392.193881 487.745605 621.163061
2024-10-27 149.542363 187.212638 235.271048 302.301033 395.384863 523.231921 717.922766
2024-11-03 138.200874 179.212247 234.026746 314.650675 433.793972 609.546475 901.115641
2024-11-10 130.507058 174.471489 235.675218 330.068547 477.711933 710.603710 1130.457723
2024-11-17 119.968345 164.251343 227.911535 329.903601 497.028862 775.896331 1316.126569
2024-11-24 108.970778 152.072217 215.661893 320.766118 499.788226 813.108972 1459.368481
2024-12-01 99.921347 141.831901 205.115480 312.706028 502.591942 850.081833 1611.171440
2024-12-08 95.843458 138.670411 205.059503 321.640497 536.080744 949.812677 1924.696115
2024-12-15 90.742648 133.415494 201.050340 323.149043 555.942900 1026.583666 2211.723633
2024-12-22 84.855936 126.408113 193.478185 317.367020 560.801875 1073.005787 2440.006627
2024-12-29 80.756788 121.955241 189.733670 317.998817 578.277168 1150.167782 2778.314337
2025-01-05 75.354276 115.083551 181.483641 309.705631 577.063864 1186.737575 3023.715316
2025-01-12 71.563472 110.658310 177.149289 308.478737 590.852252 1262.782285 3426.779023
2025-01-19 66.155762 103.113050 166.678869 294.081549 573.570435 1257.691140 3562.701652
2025-01-26 65.017184 102.831720 169.236226 306.006251 617.612858 1422.696383 4386.645254
2025-02-02 64.303760 103.221835 173.024723 320.887473 671.352530 1630.589342 5525.966603
2025-02-09 61.716261 100.081560 169.904090 320.728303 688.321404 1737.013924 6317.482446
2025-02-16 58.295395 95.222836 163.133825 311.909626 681.936637 1770.315262 6793.060995
2025-02-23 55.254277 90.890437 157.092818 304.128815 677.178139 1808.230558 7327.507999
2025-03-02 54.249665 90.259676 158.267922 312.753598 717.845413 2010.359677 8958.042976
2025-03-09 52.539655 88.199671 156.427493 314.209634 739.058356 2152.392658 10397.601168
2025-03-16 50.232912 84.880174 151.804633 308.628529 739.307837 2217.875525 11409.141942